Race 2B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Shannon Killian 11.5% 12.0% 15.0% 16.7% 15.1% 12.4% 8.6% 5.9% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 36.6% 26.5% 17.7% 10.3% 6.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Garrett Connelly 6.4% 6.6% 8.9% 10.6% 12.0% 14.4% 15.8% 15.6% 6.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 17.2% 21.8% 18.9% 15.5% 11.4% 7.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Kirkman 6.6% 6.1% 10.1% 10.5% 13.2% 15.0% 15.9% 11.2% 8.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Arthur Milot 4.0% 5.1% 6.5% 7.0% 10.4% 12.6% 14.3% 17.9% 14.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.3%
Joseph Dragon 4.5% 7.5% 7.3% 9.9% 10.1% 12.4% 17.4% 15.2% 8.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Charlie Blasberg 11.0% 11.4% 13.0% 13.8% 13.5% 14.3% 11.3% 7.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Rudolf Hauser 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 8.4% 18.1% 24.9% 22.0% 13.1%
Joshua Linker 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 2.7% 4.2% 9.3% 16.5% 25.8% 35.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 2.3% 5.4% 9.4% 19.0% 22.9% 35.7%
Kelsey Delosh 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.3% 3.0% 6.3% 18.2% 23.4% 24.1% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.