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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+1.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+1.42vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08+1.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+4.60vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.64+3.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.84-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.39-2.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42-3.55vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.99-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Tufts University3.240.3%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.51University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.64Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 34.7% | 28.9% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 18.0% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 14.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 17.2% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 25.1% | 13.5% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 5.7% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Linker | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 26.0% | 34.2% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 23.0% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.