Race 4B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Holley 35.5% 28.3% 17.9% 9.9% 4.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 18.2% 21.0% 16.8% 16.4% 11.7% 7.9% 6.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 12.9% 12.6% 14.3% 14.6% 16.0% 12.7% 9.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Blasberg 8.2% 11.6% 14.1% 14.6% 14.6% 13.4% 11.0% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 6.5% 16.5% 22.5% 23.4% 17.7%
Joseph Dragon 5.2% 4.8% 8.7% 8.2% 10.0% 13.7% 14.7% 18.0% 10.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Arthur Milot 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 8.9% 8.7% 12.5% 14.8% 18.3% 12.7% 5.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Garrett Connelly 7.1% 7.4% 9.6% 9.7% 13.0% 14.4% 13.5% 14.6% 6.8% 3.2% 0.4% 0.3%
Rudolf Hauser 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 3.0% 4.6% 7.7% 19.4% 25.1% 21.2% 13.1%
Joshua Linker 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 2.9% 2.3% 2.1% 4.1% 8.7% 17.2% 26.2% 34.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 0.9% 3.3% 4.0% 11.4% 17.7% 24.4% 34.1%
Sofia Kirkman 6.0% 6.5% 8.9% 13.0% 11.8% 13.7% 16.1% 12.8% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.