Race 5B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Holley 35.9% 27.0% 17.7% 10.2% 5.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 17.8% 21.4% 18.0% 15.8% 10.5% 8.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Kirkman 7.0% 6.1% 10.1% 9.8% 12.0% 14.0% 15.4% 15.0% 8.1% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Dragon 3.9% 5.7% 6.9% 10.6% 10.8% 13.6% 15.6% 16.4% 10.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Arthur Milot 3.9% 4.8% 6.6% 8.0% 10.7% 10.5% 16.3% 17.4% 13.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Kelsey Delosh 1.1% 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 5.4% 6.0% 16.4% 22.2% 23.2% 17.6%
Garrett Connelly 6.5% 8.5% 7.8% 10.4% 14.1% 15.3% 12.9% 13.2% 7.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Charlie Blasberg 10.7% 11.2% 13.1% 14.1% 14.3% 13.3% 10.5% 7.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 3.6% 4.3% 11.3% 20.3% 25.0% 30.4%
Joshua Linker 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 3.7% 8.7% 19.2% 22.8% 35.8%
Rudolf Hauser 1.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 3.7% 4.3% 7.4% 18.2% 21.3% 24.0% 15.3%
Shannon Killian 11.3% 13.7% 15.8% 15.8% 14.7% 12.0% 8.1% 6.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.