Race 6B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlie Blasberg 8.4% 11.4% 11.7% 13.9% 15.4% 15.9% 11.5% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Sofia Kirkman 6.1% 6.4% 10.1% 10.5% 13.2% 16.0% 15.6% 12.1% 7.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 38.3% 25.2% 16.5% 10.6% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 17.8% 20.1% 19.8% 15.3% 11.6% 8.3% 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 10.5% 15.6% 16.1% 15.8% 13.1% 11.3% 9.1% 4.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Dragon 4.5% 5.2% 7.1% 10.2% 10.1% 14.4% 15.0% 16.3% 10.9% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Kelsey Delosh 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.0% 4.7% 7.3% 17.3% 22.4% 21.9% 16.2%
Garrett Connelly 7.1% 7.1% 9.1% 10.2% 13.8% 13.2% 14.4% 14.6% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Rudolf Hauser 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 4.7% 8.5% 19.8% 23.8% 20.6% 13.9%
Arthur Milot 4.2% 5.8% 5.5% 8.2% 10.0% 10.9% 16.3% 17.9% 12.4% 6.7% 1.5% 0.6%
Joshua Linker 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.8% 9.8% 17.2% 26.2% 35.6%
Shannon McKeown 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 4.4% 8.9% 18.2% 26.7% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.