← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.24+1.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.99+3.68vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.53+0.14vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+1.40vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University2.21-1.41vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.08vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.39-1.94vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.84-3.77vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-1.41-0.09vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Tufts University3.240.4%1st Place
-
5.68University of Vermont0.990.1%1st Place
-
3.14Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
-
5.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
-
3.59Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
-
8.08University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.06University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.23Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
-
8.91University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
-
8.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 41.8% | 25.5% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 18.4% | 25.6% | 13.6% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 18.9% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 15.1% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 30.4% | 28.5% | 18.6% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 8.8% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Noah Stern | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 14.6% | 31.2% | 43.9% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 17.7% | 32.0% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.