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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+1.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+1.13vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+0.65vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+1.40vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.84-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.39-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.99-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.41-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Tufts University3.240.4%1st Place
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3.13Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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3.65Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.0%1st Place
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4.19Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.93University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 41.3% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 19.4% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 14.1% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 3.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 21.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 8.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Milot | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 24.7% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 29.2% | 30.4% | 18.6% |
| Noah Stern | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 14.6% | 30.1% | 44.5% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 20.0% | 30.6% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.