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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+2.82vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+3.75vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.65+1.95vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.49+2.78vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.59-0.92vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.97+3.54vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49-4.88vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-1.47+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-0.39-2.50vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.25-4.92vs Predicted
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12Miami University0.10-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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5.75Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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7.14Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.08Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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10.54Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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3.12Syracuse University1.490.3%1st Place
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9.87Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Tennessee-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.08Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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6.36Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 17.0% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Luke Gossman | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Simon Varga | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 7.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ian Pope | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 53.2% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 26.7% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Atkins | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 27.4% | 28.6% |
| Ian Coyne | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 4.7% |
| William Lewis | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Max Burson | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.