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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.43+1.16vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.48+2.91vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.47+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Florida3.41-1.85vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.93-0.96vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.05+0.80vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-0.20+0.19vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.50-0.44vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.06-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of South Florida3.430.4%1st Place
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4.91Rollins College1.480.0%1st Place
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3.38Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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2.15University of Florida3.410.4%1st Place
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4.04University of South Florida1.930.1%1st Place
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6.8Florida Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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7.19Jacksonville University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.56Embry-Riddle University-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.8Eckerd College0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Reynolds | 36.0% | 31.3% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathon Norcross | 3.3% | 4.2% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 27.0% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Amy Baxter | 13.8% | 15.8% | 23.9% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 35.3% | 31.6% | 19.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DePrimo | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 21.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zach Kowalski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 23.2% | 16.7% |
| Kristoffer Bostic | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 27.1% | 24.5% |
| Michael Mierswa | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 21.5% | 40.1% |
| Duncan MacLeod | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.