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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.67+2.37vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.09+0.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+0.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.20-1.67vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.49-0.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.79-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Hamilton College-0.6715.2%1st Place
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2.44Columbia University0.0930.4%1st Place
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3.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7112.6%1st Place
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2.33SUNY Maritime College0.2031.2%1st Place
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4.58SUNY Stony Brook-1.495.5%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Military Academy-1.795.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Jiganti | 15.2% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 23.5% | 16.7% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 30.4% | 25.9% | 22.4% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 12.6% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Embry | 31.2% | 29.7% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 27.8% | 34.8% |
| Justin McDaniel | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 24.6% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.