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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+3.15vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+0.52vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+3.21vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33+4.10vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.05+4.26vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95+0.07vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.87-0.96vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.73-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.50-1.51vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.27+0.56vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-0.39vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+1.11vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-1.09vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-4.52vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.92-2.69vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Jacksonville University1.7011.7%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida1.6011.9%1st Place
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3.52College of Charleston2.3824.2%1st Place
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7.21Eckerd College0.857.0%1st Place
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9.1The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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10.26Wake Forest University0.053.0%1st Place
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7.07Rollins College0.956.3%1st Place
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7.04North Carolina State University0.876.6%1st Place
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7.14Clemson University0.737.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Miami0.504.9%1st Place
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11.56Embry-Riddle University-0.272.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Central Florida-0.202.1%1st Place
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14.11Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.8%1st Place
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12.91Georgia Institute of Technology-0.041.1%1st Place
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10.48Florida State University0.052.6%1st Place
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13.31University of North Carolina-0.921.1%1st Place
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9.08Palm Beach Atlantic University0.364.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.2% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Milo Miller | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Jay | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mason Howell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| William Meade | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 34.5% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| Niah Ford | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 23.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.