Race 14B

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Amanda Taselaar 5.4% 6.0% 9.0% 8.7% 9.4% 10.8% 12.3% 13.3% 10.0% 7.8% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Carminati 15.2% 17.5% 14.9% 12.8% 13.7% 9.2% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brady Stagg 16.5% 15.0% 15.0% 14.4% 11.6% 8.8% 8.8% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fletcher Sims 22.3% 19.8% 17.1% 12.4% 11.7% 7.9% 4.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Koeniger 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 3.5% 2.7% 3.2% 4.8% 7.4% 10.0% 14.6% 16.3% 15.2% 12.1% 6.3% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 15.2% 13.9% 15.4% 13.1% 12.0% 10.6% 7.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 5.4% 5.3% 7.8% 8.2% 10.4% 15.1% 15.0% 11.7% 6.7% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Hamm 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 2.4% 4.2% 5.2% 7.4% 10.0% 13.1% 16.7% 18.6% 15.6% 0.0%
Sam Fitzgerald 8.4% 8.4% 9.0% 9.8% 11.5% 12.4% 14.2% 11.7% 7.0% 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 6.9% 8.8% 7.8% 11.1% 9.9% 14.1% 12.3% 10.5% 10.1% 4.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Clark 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 4.4% 6.3% 7.9% 9.3% 12.4% 16.0% 13.6% 10.6% 6.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 3.2% 5.4% 10.1% 14.0% 20.3% 17.3% 21.7% 0.0%
Bryan Schapperle 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 3.1% 4.7% 7.4% 11.6% 15.8% 21.1% 28.7% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 6.9% 8.8% 7.8% 11.1% 9.9% 14.1% 12.3% 10.5% 10.1% 4.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen Monteiro 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 4.3% 8.5% 11.4% 14.8% 24.0% 26.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.