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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+2.93vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+5.12vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49+0.11vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.59+1.18vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.34+0.72vs Predicted
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6Miami University0.10+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.49+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo0.65-3.09vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.25-3.17vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.97+0.57vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.47-1.05vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-0.39-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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7.12Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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3.11Syracuse University1.490.3%1st Place
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5.18Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.72Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.35Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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5.83Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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10.57Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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9.95Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Tennessee-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 17.6% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 26.0% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mabie | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Max Burson | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Simon Varga | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 5.7% |
| Luke Gossman | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| William Lewis | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian Pope | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 53.0% |
| Andrew Atkins | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 28.6% | 32.1% |
| Ian Coyne | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.