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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+2.89vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.49+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.65+1.98vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.25+2.01vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.34+0.76vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21+1.17vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.59-1.97vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.47+1.76vs Predicted
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9Miami University0.10-2.82vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.49-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-0.39-3.31vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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3.12Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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4.98University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.01Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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5.76Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.17Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.03Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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9.76Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.18Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Tennessee-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.65Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 18.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 25.0% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Gossman | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Lewis | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Mabie | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Atkins | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 27.1% | 29.3% |
| Max Burson | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Simon Varga | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Ian Coyne | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Ian Pope | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 23.1% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.