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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.10+5.42vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+3.10vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.25+2.93vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.49+3.83vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.15-1.15vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21+1.18vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.34-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-0.39-0.58vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-1.47+0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo0.65-5.07vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.49-7.78vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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5.1Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.93Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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3.85Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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7.18Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.63Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Tennessee-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.83Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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3.22Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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10.64Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Burson | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| William Lewis | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Simon Varga | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Brady | 18.1% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Ian Coyne | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Atkins | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 27.9% | 27.7% |
| Luke Gossman | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 24.2% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Pope | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 22.3% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.