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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Tennessee-0.39+6.62vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+1.90vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.25+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.65+0.98vs Predicted
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5Miami University0.10+1.35vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49-2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.49+0.68vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-0.96vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University0.34-3.37vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University0.59-4.89vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.47-1.05vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62University of Tennessee-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.9Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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5.92Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.35Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.15Syracuse University1.490.3%1st Place
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7.68University of Texas-0.490.0%1st Place
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7.04Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.63Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.11Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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9.95Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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10.67Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Coyne | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Brady | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Lewis | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Luke Gossman | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Max Burson | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 25.7% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Varga | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 5.6% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Mabie | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Atkins | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 29.7% | 30.3% |
| Ian Pope | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.