Race 1B

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madison Eger 25.3% 24.6% 18.7% 16.2% 7.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 33.4% 23.0% 17.9% 12.2% 8.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 7.6% 8.7% 10.7% 12.9% 13.0% 14.4% 13.4% 10.3% 5.2% 3.0% 0.8%
William Griswold 0.9% 1.9% 3.2% 2.4% 3.4% 5.0% 7.4% 8.0% 14.6% 21.4% 31.8%
Luke LeCoche 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 6.1% 7.7% 9.6% 10.7% 14.1% 15.8% 13.7% 11.2%
Riley Sorber 3.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.2% 11.1% 11.3% 13.5% 13.9% 13.5% 8.0% 5.6%
Drew Blackburn 9.6% 11.4% 14.4% 13.6% 14.4% 12.6% 9.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Aaron Comen 3.2% 2.5% 4.0% 5.7% 7.2% 10.6% 11.4% 13.3% 12.9% 17.6% 11.6%
Chandler Hill 8.9% 11.9% 13.6% 14.6% 13.5% 12.0% 9.9% 8.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.3%
Peter Atkins 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 4.5% 6.5% 8.9% 9.4% 13.6% 18.1% 29.9%
Rob Berry 2.7% 3.9% 4.6% 6.4% 9.0% 10.2% 11.9% 14.7% 14.4% 14.0% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.