Race 3B

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Drew Blackburn 7.5% 9.9% 13.4% 15.2% 13.8% 15.4% 11.5% 6.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.5%
Preston Senior 29.9% 27.6% 16.9% 13.5% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 7.1% 8.0% 12.2% 13.1% 13.2% 14.9% 12.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 0.9%
Riley Sorber 4.0% 3.8% 6.0% 7.0% 11.6% 10.7% 13.7% 13.8% 14.5% 8.9% 6.0%
Aaron Comen 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 5.9% 6.9% 8.5% 10.5% 13.5% 14.7% 16.2% 13.3%
Chandler Hill 10.0% 10.9% 13.5% 14.8% 15.2% 13.0% 8.7% 6.3% 4.8% 2.0% 0.8%
Madison Eger 29.5% 25.7% 18.4% 12.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Griswold 2.2% 1.4% 1.9% 3.2% 4.6% 6.2% 6.9% 11.9% 13.6% 19.0% 29.1%
Rob Berry 3.1% 3.3% 5.6% 4.7% 7.7% 9.1% 11.5% 15.6% 14.8% 14.2% 10.4%
Peter Atkins 1.1% 1.9% 3.6% 2.7% 4.3% 6.4% 9.3% 8.6% 13.0% 18.9% 30.2%
Luke LeCoche 2.3% 3.9% 4.9% 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 12.1% 13.7% 12.9% 16.3% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.