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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+1.63vs Predicted
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2Miami University1.00+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee-0.02+0.82vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.25+2.34vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.22-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.34+0.40vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-0.88-1.55vs Predicted
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9Denison University-1.90-0.26vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.21-2.82vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.88-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Virginia Tech1.140.3%1st Place
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2.75Miami University1.000.3%1st Place
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4.99University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Tennessee-0.020.1%1st Place
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7.34Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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5.18Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.45Northern Michigan University-0.880.1%1st Place
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8.74Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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7.18Ohio University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.52Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Senior | 29.1% | 25.7% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Eger | 28.5% | 24.9% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Hill | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Luke LeCoche | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 11.2% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% |
| Riley Sorber | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| William Griswold | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 33.5% |
| Rob Berry | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 8.2% |
| Peter Atkins | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.