Race 5B

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Preston Senior 30.0% 23.2% 18.2% 12.2% 9.6% 4.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Mackay 11.9% 11.5% 17.1% 15.4% 11.3% 11.8% 8.8% 7.5% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Madison Eger 22.7% 24.9% 17.7% 13.4% 9.8% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Hill 8.0% 10.6% 10.5% 13.1% 14.4% 13.3% 12.9% 9.4% 4.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Elliot Greenwald 8.5% 8.3% 10.7% 11.6% 12.7% 13.2% 12.9% 9.4% 8.6% 3.1% 1.0%
Rob Berry 2.7% 3.1% 5.2% 4.5% 6.9% 8.5% 10.2% 14.9% 16.1% 15.2% 12.7%
Aaron Comen 3.6% 3.5% 2.9% 4.8% 6.3% 7.5% 10.5% 14.2% 16.5% 15.8% 14.4%
Riley Sorber 4.8% 4.2% 5.8% 8.6% 9.7% 10.6% 12.8% 11.9% 14.0% 12.7% 4.9%
Molly Disbrow 5.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 12.9% 13.4% 13.3% 12.0% 9.6% 6.9% 3.0%
William Griswold 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 3.6% 3.3% 5.1% 6.3% 9.7% 12.4% 21.3% 33.0%
Peter Atkins 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.9% 3.1% 5.2% 7.7% 9.8% 13.1% 21.7% 30.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.