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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+5.38vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.12vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.70+0.11vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.56vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.07-0.41vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.60+4.13vs Predicted
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8William and Mary2.13-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-3.19vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.30-0.08vs Predicted
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11American University0.36+0.88vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.97-3.73vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.83-2.20vs Predicted
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15St. John's College0.37-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Naval Academy3.660.2%1st Place
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4.11Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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3.44St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.2%1st Place
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5.59Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.13Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.83William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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9.92George Washington University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.88American University0.360.0%1st Place
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8.27Christopher Newport University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Maryland0.830.0%1st Place
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11.69St. John's College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 16.4% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 16.0% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 14.0% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 20.0% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Koeniger | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hamm | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Monteiro | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.