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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+3.21vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+2.04vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95+3.10vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.87+2.12vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.27+5.78vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.05+3.20vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.33+1.21vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.46+3.49vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.85-2.71vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.50-2.48vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-4.88vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-0.04vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-4.82vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-4.51vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.20-4.27vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5College of Charleston2.3824.2%1st Place
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5.21University of South Florida1.6012.6%1st Place
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5.04Jacksonville University1.7013.4%1st Place
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7.1Rollins College0.957.1%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University0.877.2%1st Place
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11.78Embry-Riddle University-0.271.6%1st Place
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10.2Wake Forest University0.052.9%1st Place
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9.21The Citadel0.333.8%1st Place
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12.49University of North Carolina-0.461.4%1st Place
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7.29Eckerd College0.855.5%1st Place
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8.52University of Miami0.503.9%1st Place
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7.12Clemson University0.735.8%1st Place
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12.96Georgia Institute of Technology-0.041.2%1st Place
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9.18Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.5%1st Place
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10.49Florida State University0.053.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Central Florida-0.201.9%1st Place
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14.05Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.2% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| May Proctor | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Jay | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 20.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Niah Ford | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| William Meade | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.