← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madison Eger 24.8% 23.4% 17.0% 15.6% 9.6% 5.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 7.5% 8.5% 11.6% 12.1% 11.8% 15.1% 11.2% 10.6% 6.9% 4.0% 0.7%
Preston Senior 28.0% 24.0% 18.4% 12.7% 9.1% 5.1% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Hill 8.2% 10.2% 9.2% 14.3% 13.8% 15.9% 10.6% 9.5% 5.8% 1.7% 0.8%
Aaron Comen 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 6.4% 8.9% 9.5% 10.8% 16.2% 18.2% 16.0%
Riley Sorber 3.6% 4.3% 6.4% 6.7% 9.0% 9.8% 14.8% 14.5% 12.9% 11.7% 6.3%
Rob Berry 4.0% 3.3% 3.6% 6.1% 7.8% 9.0% 9.1% 15.5% 16.7% 15.0% 9.9%
William Griswold 1.8% 1.3% 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 5.3% 8.9% 10.0% 13.8% 20.0% 31.7%
Molly Disbrow 5.2% 7.0% 8.5% 8.6% 13.5% 9.9% 15.0% 12.5% 10.3% 6.9% 2.6%
Peter Atkins 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 4.5% 4.0% 7.1% 9.5% 13.9% 20.8% 31.6%
Colin Mackay 12.9% 12.9% 16.1% 15.0% 11.9% 11.3% 9.5% 5.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.