← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Miami University1.00+1.96vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University-0.22+3.30vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech1.14-0.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Tennessee-0.02+1.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-1.34+2.80vs Predicted
-
6Northern Michigan University-0.88+0.84vs Predicted
-
7Ohio University-1.21+0.36vs Predicted
-
8Denison University-1.90+0.80vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-0.48-2.99vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-1.88-1.23vs Predicted
-
11University of Toledo0.20-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Miami University1.000.2%1st Place
-
5.3Syracuse University-0.220.1%1st Place
-
2.79Virginia Tech1.140.3%1st Place
-
5.06University of Tennessee-0.020.1%1st Place
-
7.8University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
-
6.84Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
-
7.36Ohio University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
8.8Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.01Ohio State University-0.480.1%1st Place
-
8.77Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
-
4.31University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Eger | 24.8% | 23.4% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Preston Senior | 28.0% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Hill | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Aaron Comen | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| Riley Sorber | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 6.3% |
| Rob Berry | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 9.9% |
| William Griswold | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 31.7% |
| Molly Disbrow | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Peter Atkins | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 31.6% |
| Colin Mackay | 12.9% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.