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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+7.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.82vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+6.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+3.86vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.85vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+2.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.03vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-0.59vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.23+0.29vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.33-4.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.38vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.04George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.97Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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15.29University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maeve White | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 49.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.