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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.98vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+5.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.06vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+5.21vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+4.27vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.09vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.12vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.99vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-4.39vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-3.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-8.04vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.23-1.36vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.06Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.95George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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14.64University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Maeve White | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 52.1% |
| Charlotte List | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.