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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+7.16vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.68vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.59vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+6.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.13vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+4.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.15vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.59vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.23+3.52vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.89vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-5.24vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.53vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-6.14vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.41Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.52University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.47Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Maeve White | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 52.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.