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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+9.19vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+6.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.17vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.81vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+4.27vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-0.55vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.81vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.81vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-4.95vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.85vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-4.04vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.23-0.55vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-4.89vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.92-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.45Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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14.45University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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11.11Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.87Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Amina Brown | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 51.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| Maeve White | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.