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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.47vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+5.86vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+1.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.09vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+0.61vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-1.16vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-3.12vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-4.26vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-3.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-4.50vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.23-1.37vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.52-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.47Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.23Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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14.63University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Maeve White | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Amina Brown | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 52.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.