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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+8.58vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+3.98vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+2.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.42vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-1.08vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.55vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.40vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-0.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.98vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-2.44vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.92-5.03vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.23-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.33Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.56Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.63University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Amina Brown | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Maeve White | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 52.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.