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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+5.80vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+3.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+3.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-0.19vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-1.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.83vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.97vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-5.29vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.92-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.23-0.53vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-6.16vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.47Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.47University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Amina Brown | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Maeve White | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 50.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.