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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+6.39vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+7.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+6.50vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.81+8.01vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+6.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+0.30vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+4.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.25vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38+0.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-2.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.62vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-4.55vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.48-4.95vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-7.25vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-5.56vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.54-7.77vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.74-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.01University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.3Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.3Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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12.35Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Martina Sly | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 17.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| India Johnstone | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% |
| Marly Isler | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.