Race 15B

saisa-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Dufour 26.5% 23.0% 15.8% 12.7% 8.0% 6.5% 3.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Milo Miller 7.8% 7.5% 8.6% 10.5% 10.8% 9.8% 11.7% 8.5% 8.6% 7.5% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Patrick Igoe 15.2% 14.7% 13.9% 13.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.0% 5.0% 4.3% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Kay Brunsvold 13.9% 12.3% 14.3% 11.8% 12.7% 10.4% 8.7% 6.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Andrew Tollefson 5.1% 4.2% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.5% 10.5% 10.5% 9.3% 7.8% 5.4% 1.7%
Dawson Kohl 4.4% 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 6.7% 7.4% 8.1% 9.2% 11.8% 10.1% 10.5% 8.2% 5.9% 1.1%
Nilah Miller 7.0% 8.2% 8.9% 9.9% 10.2% 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% 7.4% 7.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Brendan Jay 4.4% 5.8% 6.3% 7.0% 8.0% 9.7% 8.7% 10.3% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 6.3% 3.9% 1.2%
Niah Ford 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.2% 7.8% 10.6% 9.6% 11.4% 12.7% 10.6% 5.9%
May Proctor 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 4.1% 5.7% 7.2% 9.8% 10.0% 14.6% 18.1% 16.4%
Mason Howell 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 5.7% 6.3% 7.9% 10.5% 12.3% 15.2% 15.2% 9.3%
Ryan Brelage 7.4% 8.8% 8.7% 9.0% 9.7% 10.9% 9.8% 10.2% 8.2% 7.6% 4.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Annika Kaelin 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.7% 5.2% 6.7% 10.7% 13.6% 18.7% 24.4%
William Meade 1.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 8.1% 11.5% 17.4% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.