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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+7.38vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+6.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.54+5.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.48+5.01vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+5.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83+5.71vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.81+4.63vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+3.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-5.09vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-5.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.02vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-8.91vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.76-8.21vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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11.63University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.08Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.09Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.39George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 17.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 15.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 20.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| India Johnstone | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.