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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+4.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+5.64vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+5.36vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+0.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.95vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76-0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.48+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.81+1.53vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-0.21vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.54-3.35vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.74-0.99vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.02vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-6.79vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.83-4.39vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.36George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.480.0%1st Place
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11.53University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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12.01Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Martina Sly | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| India Johnstone | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Marly Isler | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Lily McGrath | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 19.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.