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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+5.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+4.01vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+7.64vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.92vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+4.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.60vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+0.84vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+0.42vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+3.11vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.89vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.87vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.48-3.06vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-4.20vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.81-2.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.83-4.40vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.08George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.11Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.77University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| India Johnstone | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Marly Isler | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Martina Sly | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 20.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Darcy Jensen | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.