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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.48+7.71vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+6.68vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.14vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.55+4.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.94vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+0.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-2.01vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38-0.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.05vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.81-1.27vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-2.35vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-6.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-5.27vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.74-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.73University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.88Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily McGrath | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Martina Sly | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| India Johnstone | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 17.4% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 16.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.