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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+7.40vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+6.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+4.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.53vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+3.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83+4.53vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05+2.42vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.48+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.81+1.49vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.38-1.44vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-6.10vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-7.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-6.20vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-7.15vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.74-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.04Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston College2.480.0%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.94Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 15.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% |
| Lily McGrath | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 16.2% |
| India Johnstone | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.