← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.63vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.54+6.58vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.99+3.85vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+2.13vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.55+3.38vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.38+3.46vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.50vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.48+0.73vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.74+3.08vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.84-2.65vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.50-1.99vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.81-0.47vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.83-2.33vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.67-6.91vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.05-5.33vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.65-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.58Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.85University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.38Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.46George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.73Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
-
12.08Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.35Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.01Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
11.53University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
-
8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
11.67University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.09Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.67Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
8.3Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| India Johnstone | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Lily McGrath | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 20.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.