← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.20+4.95vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.54+6.61vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.67+5.11vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.74+7.84vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.50+3.62vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.99+0.98vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.44vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.83+3.25vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.05+1.89vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.32vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.55-2.19vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.65-3.79vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.97vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.48-4.91vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.84-7.60vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.81-4.35vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.38-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.95Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.61Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.11Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
11.84Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.62Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
11.25University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.89Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.81Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.21Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.09Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
-
7.4Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
11.65University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
-
9.42George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 18.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 15.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Martina Sly | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% |
| India Johnstone | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.