← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University0.01+2.26vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago-1.05+2.90vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University0.23+0.03vs Predicted
-
4Hope College0.81-1.75vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University-1.75+0.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Iowa-0.27-2.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-1.15-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Michigan Technological University0.010.2%1st Place
-
4.9University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
-
3.03Northwestern University0.230.2%1st Place
-
2.25Hope College0.810.4%1st Place
-
5.87Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
3.79University of Iowa-0.270.1%1st Place
-
4.89University of Illinois-1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Henley | 17.9% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Stephane Vinet | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 23.8% | 20.0% |
| Susan Riley | 19.6% | 21.5% | 23.3% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Jeff Zita | 37.3% | 26.7% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Drake Hullinger | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 51.1% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 28.3% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.