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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.01+2.29vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.81+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.05+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.15+1.08vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-1.96vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.75-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.27-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Michigan Technological University0.010.2%1st Place
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2.24Hope College0.810.4%1st Place
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4.9University of Chicago-1.050.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.04Northwestern University0.230.2%1st Place
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5.8Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.66University of Iowa-0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Henley | 19.0% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Jeff Zita | 36.9% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Stephane Vinet | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 25.3% | 19.4% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 26.6% | 24.0% |
| Susan Riley | 18.3% | 24.0% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Drake Hullinger | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 47.9% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.