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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.23+1.89vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.81+0.15vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.01+0.23vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.75+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.27-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.66-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.15-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Northwestern University0.230.2%1st Place
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2.15Hope College0.810.4%1st Place
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3.23Michigan Technological University0.010.2%1st Place
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5.75Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.66University of Iowa-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Illinois-1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susan Riley | 23.2% | 22.0% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Jeff Zita | 39.2% | 28.7% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Henley | 16.2% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 42.0% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 10.9% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 21.8% | 18.2% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Chuan Yin | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 25.8% | 36.3% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 26.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.