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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+5.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+6.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+2.85vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+0.91vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+2.20vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.13+2.12vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+1.28vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.15-2.12vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.55-7.53vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-4.75vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.58vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.39vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.22-0.49vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Brown University1.998.8%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.2%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.2%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.0910.4%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.105.2%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College1.134.4%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College1.719.6%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island0.993.9%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University1.154.9%1st Place
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4.47Yale University2.5516.5%1st Place
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8.25Boston University1.146.5%1st Place
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12.42Maine Maritime Academy0.151.9%1st Place
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13.61Connecticut College-0.130.8%1st Place
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15.51Middlebury College-1.220.5%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University1.225.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 5.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 9.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 26.5% | 18.3% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 60.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.