Race 1A

troy-swetman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rebekka Urbina 9.9% 10.8% 12.7% 10.7% 10.6% 13.0% 12.5% 11.6% 6.1% 2.1%
Collin Weston 13.4% 14.1% 13.6% 15.5% 12.7% 10.4% 10.7% 6.4% 2.7% 0.5%
Laura Stamets 12.4% 11.0% 11.0% 12.5% 14.9% 15.6% 9.6% 8.0% 4.2% 0.8%
Alfred Robbins 27.4% 24.2% 16.9% 13.8% 9.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Carden 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 3.6% 4.2% 5.8% 7.5% 10.3% 22.0% 38.2%
Scott Proctor 17.2% 13.8% 16.4% 14.1% 13.1% 9.3% 9.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.6%
Benjamin Kennady 6.7% 9.3% 8.7% 12.0% 13.1% 13.1% 15.7% 11.4% 7.0% 3.0%
Schuyler Hemmerdinger 6.4% 8.0% 9.5% 9.4% 10.0% 13.6% 14.1% 15.3% 8.9% 4.8%
Conrad Wineland 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.7% 5.4% 5.8% 8.1% 14.3% 25.0% 30.3%
Nicholas Chong 2.5% 3.7% 4.6% 4.7% 6.9% 8.9% 10.2% 16.9% 21.9% 19.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.