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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.01+2.16vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.81+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.27+0.65vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.23-1.08vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.75+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.66-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.15-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Michigan Technological University0.010.2%1st Place
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2.18Hope College0.810.4%1st Place
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3.65University of Iowa-0.270.1%1st Place
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2.92Northwestern University0.230.2%1st Place
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5.75Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Henley | 18.4% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Jeff Zita | 37.8% | 28.8% | 18.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 12.4% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Susan Riley | 21.6% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Drake Hullinger | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 23.9% | 43.5% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 26.0% | 36.3% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 4.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 23.1% | 26.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.