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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois2.11+0.46vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.40+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.19+2.44vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.52+0.47vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.46vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.16-2.10vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.13-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.81-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46University of Illinois2.110.7%1st Place
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3.09Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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4.54Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.9Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.8Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sisi He | 66.4% | 24.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 12.6% | 27.1% | 25.1% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| David Millstein | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 13.2% |
| Zachary Li | 4.5% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.6% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Nick Lane | 6.6% | 15.9% | 20.6% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 27.4% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.