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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois2.11+0.47vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.40+1.10vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.51vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.16-0.10vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.52-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.19-1.55vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.13-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.81-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47University of Illinois2.110.7%1st Place
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3.1Hope College0.400.1%1st Place
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4.51Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.9Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.45Northwestern University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.8Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sisi He | 65.6% | 24.8% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Rodgers | 12.6% | 27.5% | 24.3% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Addison Amstutz | 5.1% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Nick Lane | 6.8% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Li | 5.2% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 2.9% |
| David Millstein | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 13.4% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 22.0% | 49.7% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 18.3% | 28.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.