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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois2.11+0.20vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.19+1.18vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.99-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.80+0.16vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.36-2.62vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.13-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.2University of Illinois2.110.8%1st Place
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2.86Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
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3.92Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.38Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.29Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sisi He | 82.6% | 14.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Lane | 8.5% | 38.0% | 26.4% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| David Millstein | 3.5% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 23.9% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
| Caroline Ritter | 2.0% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 12.8% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 58.8% |
| Jonathan Atler | 2.0% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 33.3% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.