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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois2.11-0.77vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.99+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.19+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.80+0.13vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.13-1.59vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.36-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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1.23University of Illinois2.110.8%1st Place
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3.89Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Iowa-2.800.0%1st Place
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5.41Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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4.26Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lane | 8.9% | 35.9% | 26.3% | 17.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sisi He | 80.8% | 16.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 4.7% | 12.7% | 24.7% | 23.9% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 3.6% |
| David Millstein | 2.2% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 23.0% | 17.1% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Caporelli | 0.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 58.2% |
| Jillian Vogley | 0.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 31.2% | 26.8% |
| Jonathan Atler | 2.4% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 24.0% | 17.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.