← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.35vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.24+2.10vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College1.52+0.48vs Predicted
-
5Sacred Heart University0.12+1.03vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut1.13-1.92vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-0.40-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-2.21vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-1.89vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University0.64-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
-
4.1University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
-
3.48Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
-
6.03Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
-
4.08University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
-
6.97Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.79Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
-
7.11Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
-
5.08Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 35.7% | 27.9% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 10.1% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Ben Brown | 18.7% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 12.5% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Owen Sullivan | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 23.7% | 30.1% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 9.7% |
| Huxley Conner | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 20.5% | 36.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.