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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.13+1.36vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52-0.53vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+0.68vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.64-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.24-3.08vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.40-0.94vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.12-2.94vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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4.36University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.47Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
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5.68Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
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4.99Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.92University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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7.06Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.06Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.11Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 36.3% | 26.6% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Ben Brown | 18.5% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 9.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.4% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 13.3% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Owen Sullivan | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 24.2% | 31.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 13.8% |
| Huxley Conner | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 22.1% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.