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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.38vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.24-1.15vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-0.38vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-0.92vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64-2.86vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.40-2.01vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.6Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.85University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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5.62Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
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6.08Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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5.14Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.99Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.13Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 36.7% | 25.3% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 14.3% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 14.8% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Owen Sullivan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 24.7% | 30.5% |
| Huxley Conner | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.