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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.24+1.11vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52-0.53vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.640.00vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13-1.92vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-0.96vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.40-0.93vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-1.87vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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4.11University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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3.47Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
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5.0Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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6.04Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.07Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.13Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.74Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 36.5% | 26.5% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 9.6% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ben Brown | 19.3% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 12.0% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 12.9% |
| Owen Sullivan | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 23.2% | 31.7% |
| Huxley Conner | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 36.4% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.