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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of New Hampshire1.24+1.93vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+0.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.13-0.94vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.64-1.07vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.02vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.77vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.20-1.06vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of New Hampshire1.240.1%1st Place
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3.6Middlebury College1.520.1%1st Place
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2.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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4.06University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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4.93Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.98Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.23Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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7.94Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gershuny | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Ben Brown | 14.8% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 38.2% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 12.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.4% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 9.3% |
| John Zupkus | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 58.2% |
| Huxley Conner | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 31.2% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.